1. Executive Summary

This report analyzes, evaluates, and compares the academic performance of three consecutive ICP cohorts—ICP-123 (admitted Fall 2023), ICP-124 (admitted Fall 2024), and ICP-125 (admitted Fall 2025)—drawing on the individual analytical reports prepared for each cohort. The comparison spans freshman through junior years where data permit and focuses on GPA band distributions, enrollment dynamics, transfer effects, attrition patterns, and performance thresholds.

Key comparative findings:

Freshman-year high-performer share (≥ 3.50): ICP-123 (63.2 %) >> ICP-125 (39.3 %) > ICP-124 (30.0 %). ICP-123 entered with a markedly stronger top band.
Freshman-year low-performer share (< 2.50): ICP-124 (25.0 %) > ICP-125 (17.9 %) > ICP-123 (15.8 %). ICP-124 showed the weakest lower tail at entry.
Sophomore-year consolidation: ICP-123 achieved complete elimination of sub-2.50 GPAs (0 %) and raised the ≥ 3.50 share to 75 %. ICP-124 reduced sub-2.50 from 25 % to 5.9 % but remained middle-heavy (only 35.3 % ≥ 3.50).
Junior-year moderation (ICP-123 only): overall ≥ 3.50 fell to 35.7 % amid study-abroad absences and reduced active n (14).
Transfers consistently bolstered upper bands in ICP-123 and ICP-124; ICP-125 transfers were fewer and more mixed in placement.

2. Data Notes & Methodology

All three source reports employ identical GPA bands (4.00–3.50, 3.49–3.00, 2.99–2.50, 2.49–2.00, < 1.99), the same treatment of semester versus overall academic-year denominators, and the same notation for transfers (“+”). Overall academic-year averages exclude students present for only one semester. Semester headcounts include all enrolled students with recorded GPAs; temporary statuses (study abroad, academic leave) reduce the active count used for overall averages. This comparative report aligns the three cohorts at equivalent stages (freshman overall, sophomore overall where available) and examines year-over-year trajectories within each cohort. Minor discrepancies in Spring 2026 band-count sums versus reported totals (noted in the ICP-124 and ICP-125 source reports) are preserved as reported.

3. Enrollment Trends Across Cohorts

Original intakes and subsequent headcounts differ substantially. ICP-123 began with 20 admits and stabilized near 20 through the sophomore year before declining to 19 (Fall 2025) and 14 (Spring 2026) largely because of study abroad (4) and leave (1). ICP-124 began larger (25 admits) but experienced heavier early attrition, settling at overall n = 20 (freshman) and 17 (sophomore). ICP-125 is the largest freshman cohort (29 admits, overall n = 28), with only moderate early dismissals (4).

Table 1. Semester Headcount Comparison

Semester	ICP-123 n	ICP-124 n	ICP-125 n	123 ≥3.50	124 ≥3.50	125 ≥3.50
Fall 2023	22	—	—	50.0%	—	—
Spring 2024	22	—	—	63.6%	—	—
Fall 2024	20	23	—	70.0%	26.1%	—
Spring 2025	20	24	—	80.0%	41.7%	—
Fall 2025	19	19	31	52.6%	36.8%	38.7%
Spring 2026	14	21*	28*	57.1%	33.3%	42.9%

*Spring 2026 headcounts include temporary statuses (study abroad / leave); active GPA records are lower for ICP-124 (18) and noted for ICP-125.

4. Freshman-Year Performance Comparison

The three cohorts display distinctly different freshman profiles. ICP-123 entered with the strongest high-performer core and a moderate lower tail. ICP-124 entered weakest at both extremes (lowest top band, highest bottom band). ICP-125 occupies an intermediate position on the top band and a relatively contained lower tail that nevertheless expanded in Spring 2026.

Table 2. Overall Academic-Year GPA Distribution — Freshman Year (Counts & Percentages)

Metric	4.00–3.50	3.49–3.00	2.99–2.50	2.49–2.00	< 1.99	n
ICP-123 (2023–24)
Count	12	2	2	3	0	19
% of total	63.2%	10.5%	10.5%	15.8%	0.0%	100%
ICP-124 (2024–25)
Count	6	5	4	3	2	20
% of total	30.0%	25.0%	20.0%	15.0%	10.0%	100%
ICP-125 (2025–26)
Count	11	10	2	3	2	28
% of total	39.3%	35.7%	7.1%	10.7%	7.1%	100%

Table 3. Freshman-Year Cumulative Performance Thresholds

Cohort (Overall AY)	% ≥ 3.50	% ≥ 3.00	% ≥ 2.50	% < 2.50
ICP-123 (n=19)	63.2%	73.7%	84.2%	15.8%
ICP-124 (n=20)	30.0%	55.0%	75.0%	25.0%
ICP-125 (n=28)	39.3%	75.0%	82.1%	17.9%

5. Sophomore-Year Performance Comparison

Only ICP-123 and ICP-124 have completed a sophomore year. The contrast is sharp. ICP-123 achieved near-ceiling performance: 75 % ≥ 3.50, 90 % ≥ 3.00, and zero students below 2.50. ICP-124 improved its lower tail dramatically (sub-2.50 fell from 25 % to 5.9 % and the < 1.99 band disappeared) but remained far more middle-heavy, with only 35.3 % in the top band and a large 2.99–2.50 share (35.3 %).

Table 4. Overall Academic-Year GPA Distribution — Sophomore Year

Metric	4.00–3.50	3.49–3.00	2.99–2.50	2.49–2.00	< 1.99	n
ICP-123 (2024–25)
Count	15	3	2	0	0	20
% of total	75.0%	15.0%	10.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100%
ICP-124 (2025–26)
Count	6	4	6	1	0	17
% of total	35.3%	23.5%	35.3%	5.9%	0.0%	100%

Table 5. Sophomore-Year Cumulative Thresholds

Cohort (Overall AY)	% ≥ 3.50	% ≥ 3.00	% ≥ 2.50	% < 2.50
ICP-123 (n=20)	75.0%	90.0%	100%	0.0%
ICP-124 (n=17)	35.3%	58.8%	94.1%	5.9%

6. Junior-Year Trajectory (ICP-123) and Cross-Year Change

Only ICP-123 has reached the junior year. Overall AY 2025–2026 (n = 14) shows a pronounced softening of the top band (35.7 % ≥ 3.50) relative to the sophomore peak of 75 %. The share ≥ 3.00 remained relatively high (78.6 %), while a modest lower tail reappeared (14.3 % < 2.50). The decline coincides with reduced active enrollment driven by study abroad and leave; the source report notes that temporary absences of stronger students may depress on-campus averages.

Table 6. ICP-123 Year-over-Year Change in Overall Counts

Change	4.00–3.50	3.49–3.00	2.99–2.50	2.49–2.00	< 1.99
AY23-24 → AY24-25	+3	+1	0	−3	0
AY24-25 → AY25-26	−10	+3	−1	+1	+1

Table 7. ICP-124 Year-over-Year Change in Overall Counts

Change	4.00–3.50	3.49–3.00	2.99–2.50	2.49–2.00	< 1.99
AY24-25 → AY25-26	0	−1	+2	−2	−2

7. Transfer Contribution Comparison

Transfers have been a consistent positive force for ICP-123 and ICP-124, disproportionately entering the 3.50–4.00 and 3.49–3.00 bands. ICP-123 recorded substantial transfer inflows in the sophomore year (+7 per semester). ICP-124 likewise saw transfers concentrated in the upper two bands. ICP-125 received only two transfers, one of which appeared in the < 1.99 band; the net elevating effect is therefore weaker and more mixed.

8. Attrition and Temporary-Status Patterns

Early attrition is common across cohorts but varies in intensity. ICP-123 dismissed six students in the freshman year; subsequent headcount reductions were driven mainly by study abroad and leave. ICP-124 dismissed five in the freshman year and continued to experience transfers out. ICP-125 recorded four dismissals (two per semester)—a lower rate relative to its larger intake. Temporary statuses (study abroad, academic leave) become material in the junior year for ICP-123 and appear in smaller numbers for the other two cohorts in Spring 2026.

9. Analytical Findings

Distinct entry profiles. ICP-123 entered as a high-performing cohort (63.2 % ≥ 3.50). ICP-124 entered weakest (30.0 % ≥ 3.50, 25 % < 2.50). ICP-125 occupies a middle position (39.3 % ≥ 3.50, 17.9 % < 2.50) with the largest absolute size.
Differential consolidation. ICP-123 converted a strong freshman base into an outstanding sophomore distribution (zero sub-2.50, 75 % top band). ICP-124 achieved substantial lower-tail improvement but did not expand the top band proportionally, producing a middle-heavy sophomore profile.
Junior-year softening is context-dependent. The decline in ICP-123’s top-band share in 2025–2026 coincides with reduced active enrollment and study-abroad absences; it should not be interpreted solely as academic deterioration of the remaining students.
Transfers as structural support. In ICP-123 and ICP-124, transfers systematically raised upper-band shares. ICP-125’s smaller and more mixed transfer inflow limited this benefit.
Lower-tail risk remains live for the two younger cohorts. ICP-124 still carries a 5.9 % sub-2.50 share overall; ICP-125 saw its sub-2.50 share rise to 25 % in Spring 2026. Both require continued monitoring.
Size versus selectivity trade-off. ICP-125’s larger freshman footprint (n = 28 overall) brings both a solid high-performer core and a numerically larger group of at-risk students, underscoring the need for scaled academic-support capacity.

10. Observations & Recommendations

Prioritize early intervention for ICP-125’s expanded lower tail (seven students in the two bottom bands in Spring 2026) before the sophomore year begins.
Continue tracking ICP-124 students remaining near the 2.50 threshold (especially the 2.49–2.00 band) to lock in the gains already achieved.
Investigate systematically whether study-abroad and leave participants differ in prior GPA; temporary absences can materially alter on-campus averages, particularly for smaller junior-year cohorts.
Maintain separate transfer-student outcome tracking across all cohorts to quantify their net contribution to program-level averages.
Clarify enrollment accounting conventions (especially Spring 2026 band-count versus headcount discrepancies) so that longitudinal denominators remain consistent.
Use ICP-123’s sophomore trajectory as a benchmark for aspirational performance while recognizing that entry profiles differ; interventions should be calibrated to each cohort’s starting distribution.

11. Closing Note

The three ICP cohorts illustrate both common developmental patterns and marked differences in starting strength and consolidation capacity. ICP-123 demonstrates the upper bound of what early filtering and adaptation can produce—an essentially flat high-performing distribution by the sophomore year—followed by a junior-year moderation linked in part to temporary absences. ICP-124 shows successful lower-tail remediation but limited top-band expansion. ICP-125 enters with intermediate strength and a larger absolute footprint, yet exhibits an emerging Spring 2026 lower-tail expansion that requires prompt attention. Across all three cohorts, transfers have generally supported higher bands, and attrition has been concentrated in the freshman year. Continued cohort-specific monitoring, transparent handling of temporary statuses, and targeted academic support remain the most direct levers for sustaining and improving program-level outcomes.