American University of Central Asia - AUCA - Publications

AUCA Leadership /

President

Publications

 

Books and Book Chapters

 

“The Energy Factor in Russia’s Asia Pivot” in Mike Mochizuki and Deepa Olalapoly, eds. Energy Security in Asia and Eurasia, Routledge, 2016.

“Russian Power Rising and Falling Simultaneously” in Ashley Tellis, ed. Strategic Asia: 2015-2016: Foundations of Power in the Asia-Pacific, National Bureau of Asian Research, 2015.

“Both Epicenter and Periphery: U.S. Interests in Central Asia” in David Denoon, ed., China, the United States, and the Future of Central Asia. New York University Press, 2015.

 “Russia’s Contested National Identity and Foreign Policy.” With Igor Zevelev in Henry R. Nau and Deepa M. Ollapally, eds., Worldviews of Aspiring Powers: Domestic Foreign Policy Debates in China, India, Iran, Japan, and Russia (New York: Oxford University Press USA, 2012).

“The Obama Administration’s Reset Button for Russia,” in Russia: The Challenges of Transformation, Dmitri Trenin, and Piotr Dutkiewiz (New York: New York University Press, 2011).

Russia after the Global Financial Crisis with Anders Aslund and Sergei Guriev, (Washington: Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2011)

The Russia Balance Sheet with Anders Aslund, (Washington: Peterson Institute/CSIS, 2009)

"The Obama administration's 'reset button' for Russia", The Obama Moment, (EU Institute for Security Studies, 2009)

Russia: The Next Yen Years (Washington: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2004).

Rough Crossing: Democracy in Russia (Moscow: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2004).

Russia after the Fall (Washington: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2002).

Russia and Japan: An Unresolved Dilemma Between Distant Neighbors with Tsuyoshi Hasegawa and Jonathan Haslam, (Berkeley: University of California/International and Area Studies, 1993).

 

Journal Articles and Reports

 

“U.S. Policy Goals with Russia in a Broader Asian Context” in Change and Continuity in Japan-Russia Relations: Implications for the United States, eds. Paul J. Saunders and John S. Van Oudenaren, (Center for the National Interest, Washington DC, April 2019) pps. 37-49. https://187ock2y3ejr34z8752m6ize-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/CFTNI-Change-and-Continuity-in-Japan-Russia-Relations_May-2019_Web.pdf

“What is Eurasia to US (U.S.)?”, Journal of Eurasian Studies, June 2018, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 125-133. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1879366518300150

Elevation and Calibration: A New Russia Policy for America, December 2016, Center on Global Interests. http://globalinterests.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/CGI_A-New-Russia-Policy-for-America_Andy-Kuchins.pdf

The South Caucasus in a Reconnecting Eurasia: U.S. Policy Interests and Recommendations, with Jeff Mankoff, November 2016, CSIS Report. https://www.csis.org/analysis/south-caucasus-reconnecting-eurasia.

Azerbaijan in a Reconnecting Eurasia: Evolving Foreign Economic and Security Interests, with Jeff Mankoff, June 2016, CSIS Report. https://www.csis.org/analysis/azerbaijan-reconnecting-eurasia

Armenia in a Reconnecting Eurasia: Evolving Foreign Economic and Security Interests, with Jeff Mankoff, June 2016, CSIS Report. https://www.csis.org/analysis/armenia-reconnecting-eurasia

Georgia in a Reconnecting Eurasia: Evolving Foreign Economic and Security Interests, with Jeff Mankoff, June 2016, CSIS Report. https://www.csis.org/analysis/georgia-reconnecting-eurasia

Kazakhstan in a Reconnecting Euraisa: Evolving Foreign Economic and Security Interests, with Jeff Mankoff, June 2015, CSIS Report. https://www.csis.org/analysis/central-asia-reconnecting-eurasia-kazakhstan

Kyrgyzstan in a Reconnecting Eurasia: Evolving Foreign Economic and Security  Interests, with Jeff Mankoff, June 2015, CSIS Report. https://www.csis.org/analysis/central-asia-reconnecting-eurasia-kyrgyzstan

Uzbekistan in a Reconnecting Eurasia: Evolving Foreign Economic and Security Interests, with Jeff Mankoff, June 2015, CSIS Report. https://www.csis.org/analysis/central-asia-reconnecting-eurasia-uzbekistan

Turkmenistan in a Reconnecting Eurasia: Evolving Foreign Economic and Security Interests, with Jeff Mankoff, June 2015, CSIS Report. https://www.csis.org/analysis/central-asia-reconnecting-eurasia-turkmenistan

Tajikistan in a Reconnecting Eurasia: Evolving Foreign Economic and Security Interests, with Jeff Mankoff, CSIS Report, June 2015. https://www.csis.org/analysis/central-asia-reconnecting-eurasia-tajikistan

Central Asia in a Reconnecting Eurasia: U.S. Policy Interests and Recommendations, with Jeff Mankoff, CSIS Report, May 2015, https://www.csis.org/analysis/central-asia-reconnecting-eurasia

A Shaky Equilibrium in Ukraine, with Jeff Mankoff, April 2015, CSIS Report. https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/legacy_files/files/publication/150428_kuchins_ukraine.pdf

Russia, Ukraine, and U.S. Policy Options, with Jeff Mankoff, CSIS Report: January 2015. https://www.csis.org/analysis/russia-ukraine-and-us-policy-options

“Russia and the CSIS in 2014: A Rather Bad Year,” Asian Survey, Volume 55, Number 1, January/February 2015.

"Russia and the CIS in 2013: Russia's Pivot to Asia," Asian Survey, Volume 54, Number 1, January/February 2014.

"The Energy Factor in Russia's 'Asia Pivot.'" PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo No. 272 (August 2013).

“Perspective: What is to Follow the Reset?”. " Current History. Vol. 111, Issue 747 (October 2012).

"Russian Foreign Policy: Continuity in Change," The Washington Quarterly, Andrew C. Kuchins and Igor A. Zevelev (Winter 2012)

Putin's Return and Washington's Reset With Russia: why the New President Will Have to Play Nice with Obama,” Foreign Affairs, September 20, 2011.

"Reset Expectations: Russian Assessments of U.S. Power," Part of CSIS Report Capacity and Resolve: Foreign Assessments of U.S. Power, June 17, 2011

The North Caucasus Russia’s Volatile Frontier, with Sergei Markedonov, CSIS Report, June 2011.

"A Truly Regional Economic Strategy for Afghanistan," The Washington Quarterly, (Spring, 2011)

"Russia, the 360-Degree Regional Power," Current History, Vol. 110, No.738, (October 2011).

"Afghanistan: Building the Missing Link in the Modern Silk Road," The Washington Quarterly, Thomas M. Sanderson, and David A. Gordon, (April 2011).

The Key to Success in Afghanistan: A Modern Silk Road Strategy, CSIS Report, June 10, 2010.

The Northern Distribution Network and Afghanistan: Geopolitical Challenges and Opportunities," CSIS Report, January, 2010.

The Northern Distribution Network and the Modern Silk Road, Planning for Afghanistan’s Future," CSIS Report, December, 2009.

'Sino-Russian Myths' Survival. Vol. 51, Issue 5 (October 2009).

'Why Russia Is So Russian?”' Current History. Vol. 108, Issue 720 (October 2009).

Turkey’s Evolving Dynamics”, CSIS Report, March, 2009

"Europe and Russia: Up from the Abyss?" Current History. Vol. 108, No. 716 (March 2009).

Releveraging U.S. Power amid Sino-Russian Reapprochement” CSIS Report, March, 2009.

Pressing the "Reset Button" on US-Russia Relations,"CSIS Report, March 2009. (with Anders Aslund).

Economic Whiplash in Russia: An Opportunity to Bolster U.S.-Russian Commercial Ties? CSIS Report, February 2009. (with Samuel Charap).

Where Should U.S. Policy toward Russia Go from Here?" CSIS Report, September, 2008.

"Russia's 2020 Strategic Economic Goals and the Role of International Integration" CSIS Report, July 2008. (with Amy Beavin and Anna Bryndza).

"Putin’s Plan," The Washington Quarterly, with Clifford G. Gaddy, (Spring, 2008).

"A Look Ahead to Strategic Relations with Russia" . SIPRI Update: Global Security & Arms (Febrary 2008).

Alternative Futures for Russia, CSIS Report, December, 2007

Putinism without Putin? SAISPHERE 2007 (December 2007).

"Russia and China: The Ambivalent Embrace," Current History. Vol. 106, No. 702. (October 2007).

U.S.-Russian Relations: The Case for an Upgrade," Carnegie Endowment Report, January 2005. (with Vyacheslav Nikonov and Dmitri Trenin)

"Summit with Substance: Creating Payoffs in an Unequal Partnership," Carnegie Policy Brief No. 16, (May 2002).

"Is Russia Rising?" Demokratizatsiya, Vol. 11, No. 1 (Winter 2003).

"Explaining Mr. Putin: Russia's New Nuclear Diplomacy," Arms Control Today, Vol. 12, No. 8 (October 2002).

"Russia's Relations with China and India: Strategic Partnership-Yes, Strategic Alliance-No." Demokratizatsiya, Vol. 9, No. 2 (Spring 2001).

"Russia's Strategic Partnership with China and Global Security." PONARS Policy Memo Series No. 165, (November 2000).

An Agenda for Renewal: U.S.-Russian Relations," Carnegie Endowment Report 2000

"Russia and Regional Multilateral Security," PONARS Policy Memo Series No. 52, (November 1998).

"The Emerging Sino-Russian Strategic Partnership and Eurasian Security," PONARS Policy Memo Series No. 11, (September 1997).

 

Book Reviews

 

Bobo Lo,  Axis of Convenience: China, Russia, and the New Geopolitics,

Pro et Contra Journal, Vol. 13, No. 2. March-April 2009.

Robert Kagan, Dangerous Nation, "Etat Terrible," National Interest Online, August 29, 2007.

Peter Baker and Susan Glasser, Kremlin Rising, Russia in the Age of Putin, SAIS Review, Vol. 26, No. 1 (Winter-Spring 2006). pp. 193-196.

Allen Lynch,How Russia is Not Ruled: Reflections on Russian Political Development Political Science Quarterly, Vol. 121, Issue 2 (Summer 2006).

Richard Rose and Neil Munro, Elections Without Order: Russia's Challenge to Vladimir Putin. in Slavic Review, Vol. 63 Issue 3 (Fall 2004) pp. 668-669.

Clifford Gaddy and Fiona Hill, Siberian Curse: How Communist Planners Left Russia Out in the Cold, "The Land that Time Forgot," Survival, Vol. 46 Issue 2 (Summer 2004).

William Zimmerman, The Russian People and Foreign Policy: Russian Elite and Mass Perspectives 1993-2000. "What Russians Think About Foreign Policy," SAIS Review, Vol. 23, No. 2 (Summer-Fall 2003), pp. 209-211.

Elizabeth Wishnick, Mending Fences: The Evolution of Moscow's China Policy from Brezhnev to Yeltsin, Demokratizatsiya, Vol. 11 No. 3 (Summer 2003).

Review of Guoli Liu, States and Markets: Comparing Japan and Russia, Russian Review, Vol. 54 Issue 3 (July 1995), pp. 484.

 

Congressional Testimony

 

Statement to the U.S House of Representatives, Homeland Security Subcommittee on Counterterroism and Intelligence. Terrorism in the Caucasus. Hearing. April 3, 2014.

Prospects for Engagement with Russia”, testimony before the U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee, March 19, 2009

"Russian Democracy and Civil Society: Back to the Future," testimony before the U.S. Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe, United States Congress, February 8, 2006.

 

Op-Eds, Interviews

 

View the entire list of Andrew Kuchins' media appearances

Russiqn Power under Putin: Up, Down, and Flatline, August 22, 2018, Russia Matters. https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/russian-power-under-putin-and-down-and-flatline

You Americans Never Learn: How Valdai Showcased Putin’s Terms for U.S.-Russia Relations, Moscow Times, October 26, 2016. https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/you-americans-never-learn-how-valdai-showcased-putins-terms-us-russia-cooperation

U.S. in a Trade War against Europe and Asia, Valdai Discussion Club, July 25, 2018. http://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/us-in-trade-war-against-europe-and-asia/

U.S.-China: How to Avoid a Trade War, Valdai Discussion Club, June 4, 2018. http://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/u-s-china-how-to-avoid-a-broader-trade-war/

New Sanctions Bill Leaves Trump with Less Options on Russia, Valdai Discussion Club, June 22, 2017. http://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/new-sanctions-bill-leaves-trump-with-fewer-options/

A Vision for Shared Prosperity in Central Asia, April 14, 2015, CSIS Commentary. https://www.csis.org/analysis/vision-shared-prosperity-central-asia

Crimea Now One Year On: Where Does Russia Go Now?, March 18, 2018, CSIS Commentary. https://www.csis.org/analysis/crimea-one-year-where-does-russia-go-now

Boris Nemtsov: Death of a Real Russian Patriot, March 2, 2015, CSIS Commentary

Ukraine’s Future Hanging in the Balance, February 9, 2015, CSIS Critical Questions. https://www.csis.org/analysis/ukraine%E2%80%99s-future-hanging-balance

"Will economy be Putin's downfall?" CNN, December 7, 2014

"Putin's Dilemma," CSIS Global Forecast 2015: Crisis and Opportunity, November 11, 2014

With Jeffrey Mankoff, "Ceasefire in Eastern Ukraine," CSIS Critical Questions, September 8, 2014

"Chance for Peace Now in Ukraine?" CSIS Critical Questions, July 22, 2014

"Act now, or face war in Ukraine," CNN, July 18, 2014

"Obama Needs a Eurasia Strategy," CSIS Commentary, May 28, 2014.

"Does Obama really understand Putin?" CNN, March 30, 2014.

"Is Putin Having a Brezhnev Moment?" Politico Magazine, March 11, 2014.

"U.S. credibility at stake in Ukraine," CNN, March 2, 2014.

With Jeffrey Mankoff, "Ukraine's February Revolution: What Next?" CSIS Critical Questions, February 24, 2014.

"Russia in 2014: Sochi key to Putin legacy," CNN, December 17, 2013.

"Russia's China Challenge in a Changing Asia: An American Perspective," ASAN Forum, November 22, 2013.

How Putin's move could help Snowden and U.S.CNN, August 2, 2013.

With Stephen Blank, Alexander Cooley, and Joshua Kucera, “US Military Involvement in Central Asia,” Central Asia Policy Forum, no. 1, April 2012.

A Durable Reset,” International Herald Tribune, September 13, 2011.

"Policy shift raises E.U. hopes on Russia", The Washington Times, September 21, 2009.

"Central Asia’s Northern Exposure", The New York Times, August 4, 2009.

"Russia and the Perils of Personal Diplomacy", The New York Times, July 6, 2009 .

" Obama Should Walk in the Woods with Putin", The Moscow Times, July 3, 2009 .

" New Course for U.S. Foreign Policy?", ABC News, July 3, 2009.

"Formula for Rebooting Commercial Relations," The Moscow Times, February 25, 2009.

"Obama’s opportunity?,"(with Samuel Charap) The New York Times, January 30, 2009.

"Russia’s peace offensive,"(with Samuel Charap) The New York Times, October 13, 2008.

"U.S.-Russia-China Policy Triangle," Council on Foreign Relations, September 29, 2008.

" Time to Treat Russia as a Partner," The Moscow Times, July 3, 2008.

" Tensions in Eastern Europe," American University Radio, July 14, 2008.

"Bush Marks Final Official Visit with Putin,"MSNBC, April 6, 2008.

"Opposing Views: Should NATO Defend Europe Against Russia's Energy Weapons?", RadioFreeEurope/ Radio Liberty, April 2, 2008.

"Economic Risk and the Prospects for Foreign Companies in Russia," co-authored with Amy Beavin, Russia Business Watch, Vol. 15, No. 2, Summer-Fall 2007.

"Kremlinology: Unpredictable Russia," Vedomosti, December 24, 2007. (in Russian)

"The Art of Reading Russia's Future," The Moscow Times, December 21, 2007.

"What is Putin's Plan?" Washington Post, September 28, 2007.

"Vlad the Surpriser," Newsday, June 10, 2007.

"A Turning Point in U.S.-Russian Relations?" Vedomosti, November 20, 2006.

"Russian Spin Job?" Kommersant, September 18, 2006.

"After the G-8: The Future Orbit of U.S.-Russian Relations," Heritage.org, September 15, 2006.

"Vladimir the Lucky," Carnegie Endowment Web Commentary, July 25, 2006.

"Letter to Mr. Putin," Kommersant, July 12, 2006.

"Look Who's Back," Wall Street Journal Europe, May 9, 2006.

"Will the Authoritarians of the World Unite?" The Moscow Times, March 28, 2006.

"New Directions in Russian Foreign Policy: Is the East Wind Prevailing over the West Wind in Moscow?" Johnson's Russia List, November 29, 2005.

"From Values to True Dialogue," The Moscow Times, February 22, 2005.

"Europe's Last Geopolitician?" Profil, May 9, 2005.

"Getting Back to Business in Bratislava," The Moscow Times. February 22, 2005.

"We Will Know the Scope of the Discord of the American and Russian Interests in 2005," Profil, January 31, 2005.

"Experts: East-West "Meddling" in Ukraine?" United Press International, December 10, 2004.

"The Cooling Trend Will Continue," The Moscow Times, November 15, 2004.

"Commentary: Russia and Ukraine's Future," United Press International, October 30, 2004.

"U.S. and Russia--What's Next?" Untimely Thoughts, October 16, 2004.

"Two Tragic Septembers," The Moscow Times, September 24, 2004.

"Russia after Beslan," UPI International, September 13, 2004.

"The European Union and NATO Could Turn Chechnya into Kosovo," Nezavisimaya Gazeta, September 7, 2004.

"Russia's Image Problem Begins at Home," The Moscow Times. July 20, 2004.

"Putin's New Team and His Potential Political Legacy," Russian Investment Review. April 26, 2004.

"The West Must Not Turn Its Back on Russia," The Moscow Times, April 21, 2004.

"Presidential Politics: Russians, Republicans, and Democrats," Nezavisimaya Gazeta, February 27, 2004.

"Democracy and War," The Moscow Times. February 10, 2004.

"Russia's New Strategy," Rodnaya Gazeta, December 15, 2003.

"New or Old Russia?" The Moscow Times, December 15, 2003.

"Political Campaign Tactics of New Imperial Strategy?" BBC Russian, December 7, 2003.

"Russia Was Always a Dubious Member of the Club," Johnson's Russia List, November 30, 2003.

"America's Interests in Relations with Russia," Kreml.org, November 19, 2003.

"Putin's Pandora's Box," Johnson's Russia List, November 8, 2003.

"The Threat to Democracy in Russia Remains," Nezavisimaya Gazeta, September 25, 2003.

"The Limits of Power," Nezavisimaya Gazeta, September 15, 2003.

"Arrests Hurt Russia's Image More Than Terrorist Attacks," Nezavisimaya Gazeta, July 10, 2003.

"U.S.-Russian Cooperation and the Future of Central Asia," Washington Profile News Agency, December 25, 2002.

"Saddam's Fate: The Main Issue for Putin and Bush," Nezavisimaya Gazeta, November 22, 2002.

"Building a Real U.S.-Russian Partnership," Christian Science Monitor, May 20, 2002.

"Russia, China, and What's Really on the Table," The Moscow Times, August 3, 2001.

"Little Realism for the Realists," Chicago Tribune, April 17, 2001.

"Russia's Insecurity Complex," Washington Post, August 21, 2000.

 

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